What about nation states? Do you really think the US military will avoid working towards AGI if they think it would give them a tactical advantage? Or the CCP? Or North Korea?
Personally, if AGI gets developed, I’d rather the first iteration be in the hands of someone who doesn’t also have access to nuclear weapons.
They may well. But if we ban research altogether, the only ones with access will be governments. At least with an open system there would be some competition.