The only path forward is to get LSD into the water supply at Davos and put on a really scary play about Rokko’s Basilisk for all the money people, or else Sam Altman won’t be able to afford to repair his infinity pool
They need a new acronym: AGI -> ASI -> Artificial Mega Intelligence AMI? Maybe go back to AGI but make it mean Artificial Godlike Intelligence?
It's too bad Altman already blew his wad with the whole Dyson sphere thing. It's hard to top that. Maybe he can promise them a paperclip universe? That's gotta be worth a few more trillion.
Ever since the 1960's we've had AIs that beat aspects of human intelligence. These days AIs are "godlike intelligence" at boardgames, visual recognition, programming (know any programmer, no matter how good, that can get a fluid dynamics simulation from scratch in 2 minutes?), reading comprehension, understanding humans (both speed and accuracy), ... and so on and so forth), and every few years something gets added to the list (I particularly enjoyed robotic ping pong. And it's "not really" AI (kind of, convnets certainly work best, but yes you can code it by hand if you control the environment). But you're not winning even a single ping pong game, it's just not happening)
Every time people find something they're still superior at and declare whatever that is the most important thing in the universe.
Perhaps a more useful definition of AGI would be an intelligence good enough that it can go from raw materials to a working AI at least as good as itself ...
My take would be more general: a "simulated, emergent intelligence" cannot be considered AGI - which must be instead structurally intelligent. As if we took an interpretation of the Turing test, not as "sounds intelligent (could be confused with intelligent)", but as "we assess it as intelligent".
My partner and I both just got new jobs after a long period of unemployment. Neither of our new employers offer subsidized health insurance. We both have chronic conditions for which we need regular access to medication. The financial cliff we will both go over going from Medicaid to paying for health insurance via Covered California, and likely paying higher prices for medication in addition to astronomically high (and increasing!) monthly premiums, is going to eat a huge percentage of our increased incomes.
I have no idea who is supposed to benefit from this system, other than the private health insurance companies.
It makes me feel like a crazy person seeing that “the government should fund basic R&D that broadly benefits industry” is a concept that so many people find confusing, hard to grasp, or even offensive.
The government should fund AI research and model training. The weights and the models should be free. The provision of inference and tooling should be a competitive business. This feels completely obvious to me.
I started feeling that way around the time ICE illegally broke, entered and ransacked a low-income housing building in Chicago, terrorizing residents regardless of citizenship or immigration status. Once I realized that fear of reprisal was preventing me from expressing how I felt about it online, I resolved instead to get louder and more strident in my public speech than I had been in years.
The thing is, this forum often tells us that the government is not allowed to do that, it's against the law. So I'm curious why they did, and how they were able to?
It does sound like the property management company that owned the building might have been trying to get existing tenants to leave so they could renovate the building. And that's probably ultimately a good thing. Obviously it's disruptive for the existing legal tenants; but it sounds like it was a building in disrepair - that's why it was cheap enough for large numbers of illegal immigrants to be living there - and in general I think that tenant protection laws in major American cities are an impediment to building more and better-quality housing units.
> It does sound like the property management company that owned the building might have been trying to get existing tenants to leave so they could renovate the building. And that's probably ultimately a good thing.
Innocent children were marched out of their homes in the middle of the night by masked & unidentified Federal paramilitary troops with automatic weapons, who broke into the building by helicopter.
I will do everything in my power, for the rest of my life, to comprehensively politically disempower anyone who believes this is “ultimately a good thing.”
I cannot imagine wanting the product of the entire intellectual output of humanity since recorded history to be an expensive, paywalled commercial product owned by 5 or so of the most insufferable, detestable people who ever lived. Why would you want to live in that world. We should all be rooting for open source AI to win.
“The market rewards intelligent allocation” is such a straightforwardly false statement that I can’t believe anyone still says this with a straight face. The last ten years of the US economy have just been scam after scam after scam, and people just keep saying this.
NFTs were worth more than $1 trillion so we know that they were "better" than the Ai efforts of today because “The market rewards intelligent allocation”
Yes, LFP is a better chemistry for various reasons including cost. Thankfully this means that nickel and cobalt are not needed for EVs adoption to continue scaling.
For now, NMC remains superior for some high performance applications, as well as for high-end laptops and phones. Yes, there are "myriad" problems with nickel and cobalt. These problems will diminish as scale makes recycling economically competitive to virgin material mining.
At some point the number of EV batteries being disposed will approach equilibrium to the number of new vehicle batteries manufactured. When this happens the amount of virgin nickel and cobalt needed will also approach zero.
reply