First, it was about regime change. Now that shit hits the fan, he is moving the goalposts. We have seen him do this live a thousand times and getting away with it. Why would it be different this time?
It’s also interesting to see how the Administration runs a top-notch disinformation campaign against the American people on this.
They hit Iran without declaring war, or UN approval, or having any substantial reason on paper the public could use to trace if the initial goals of the operation are reached and in what timeframe.
So they took away the key measurement indicator of effectiveness / if the action was reasonable and effective, for the public as a reference point.
Most people would call a banana a lengthy fruit, but if you put it next to a giraffe, it’s no longer that lengthy. We need reference points for making good decisions.
You can see that they continue this pattern and build a narrative of US superiority on that, so people quickly forget about that this president broke with key democratic principles, by denying the public and Congress to have a
lengthy discussion about if this war needed to be fought at exactly this time and day, before six servicemen die in two days.
I am especially surprised how weak journalism has become as a Checks & Balances tool in the US.
First comes Rubio, the smartest of the bunch, and preps the media about the goals of the operation. That gets pushed into mainstream with most US media being owned by people who rely on favourable treatment by the president. So they sing the song of the billionaires.
The journalists need to put food on the table and not ruin their careers, so we see them play along, thinking that’s only a few more years of Trump. The people who speak up get publicly roasted and insulted by the president himself or shut up with his army of lawyers.
Then after the initial blow on Rubio softened the narrative, they put the big dog in front of a mic and everyone feels stupid asking the President the same questions they already got answers from Rubio, so they don’t.
You watch him pick a random CNN guy/gal and tell them how much they suck at their job and that they are truly the worst, then he goes back to have a Big Mac brunch watching prepared reels of stuff the us army destroyed in Iran to a Kid Rock soundtrack. Journalism is dead in the US if that is the norm by now.
It’s also not like he got warned about the risks of this operation by the highest US General, right?
"He has not spoken of not doing Iran, or even the fake limited strikes that I have been reading about," Trump added. "He knows only one thing, how to win, and, if he is told to do so, will be leading the pack."
All of this is true. The Joint Chief of Staff is bringing the President options, this also includes possible scenarios of escalation and their consequences.
You can be damn sure they informed Trump about any and all risks. Including Iran attacking the region’s energy infrastructure and neighbours.
But pay special attention to the last part. "If he is told to do so, will be leading the pack."
Not just that he treats a man that did more for the American public than he could ever do in a hundred years of his reign like a lapdog. He really doesn’t understand his own military as Commander-in-Chief.
If these people need to be told to do so, because they are resisting, you’re wrong as Commander to force your will on them. They do know better than the guy temporarily having a political position, because they dedicated their life to serving the American people. They think beyond four or eight years a president thinks.
They will gladly go to war and die for their country any day of the week if they are convinced it’s the right thing.
But it looks more like "being told to do so” resulted in the loss of life of six people by now, dozens injured and the whole region being on fire with billions in damage and loss of civilian life in 13! unrelated countries that got dragged into this conflict by now.
I think the American public needs to step up their game and you better do it fast, before the US becomes just two letters in the word rUSsia.
I hope the Iranian people finally get what they deserve, the chance to have a real democracy and to be able to use its full potential as one of the oldest hubs for human knowledge with a lot of brilliant minds and a rich culture to share with the rest of the world.
And with Khamenei hopefully also dies the genre of Iran being portrayed as this mysterious military and intelligence superpower that even the US is afraid of in tv shows and movies.
From a military perspective the biggest joke is that they gave Russia the blueprints for advanced drone technology and the tools to build them in return for a better air defense promised by the Russians.
How did trusting Russia for your air defense work out eh?
Ayatollah took a shit and got dropped 30 pineapples on his head.
Most of the military leadership is dead.
Also a lot of the hardline advisers.
And that was just day one.
They will continue going down their kill lists to keep them destabilized.
I think without boots on the ground or most of the IRCG defecting in return for full amnesty a proper regime change won’t be possible. So this is still a high-risk operation that can go incredibly wrong if Iran decides to no longer attack the us bases but all of its neighbors oil fields in retaliation for letting the US use their airspace freely.
But if there ever was a chance for the Iranian people to retake their independence and freedom it is probably within the next three to four weeks.
As you can see the president is under a lot of pressure.
He is losing the ICE war, because the protesters used tactics of the civil rights movements of the past pretty effectively and now he is stuck between losing the narrative of protecting Americans by further escalation or losing power as a direct consequence of said escalation and more Americans getting murdered by government agents.
Of the 8 or so wars he pretended to have stopped only two are still in a non-active state. The world is more dangerous than it ever was in our lifetime.
But I’m glad the man got a noble peace prize and probably put it right next to the golden pager he got from jerusalems favorite war criminal.
Let’s not forget the fourth anniversary of putins three day special operation just passed. A special operation by a special boy, that should have been ended on day one of his presidency.
He is losing the war of the public opinion, as he is approaching the midterms with the lowest approval rating and on top of that the whole Epstein thing is sticking to his shoes and gets smellier by the day and he can’t shake it off.
The Supreme Court took away his bonking stick, and he ordered a pretty impressive armada to the front door of Iran but khameni is old and rather wants to die a martyr than on youtube getting hung by the neck and dragged through Teheran behind a dumping truck.
And now those damn woke lunatics at anthropic won’t allow him to spy on his political enemies and every American and if necessary kill them autonomously, probably with the same red button he uses to order fresh BigMacs into the oval office.
The poor man is really not having a good time. But I’m sure he can dry his tears with a few of those crypto billions he made from selling the presidency.
This is such an interesting timeline. In fourty years none of the younger people are going to believe us, we are all going to eat our rat pudding in a trump home for the elderly under constant ai supervision, because they think we’re insane.
Sir, please stick to the instructions of the palantir corporate handbook to talk to upper management. The correct way to summon Peter Thiel is to stand in front of a mirror at midnight during a full moon and whisper his name three times with the cloned voice of Alex Karp.
Might be a long stretch, but that every analyst I’ve heard talking about this is concerned about mass surveillance of us citizens again, and the Wyden Siren is hinting at illegal activities by the CIA.
Plus that the US military also used anthropics products in some form during the Venezuela operation as they publicly acknowledged, plus Hegseth seeming to be willing to put the boot down anthropics’ neck according to the options presented to them, are a lot of interesting things that happened in a very short amount of time for an environment that is usually known to work as frictionless as possible.
Even for Hegseth this is a lot of public eyes on something the pentagon of previous administrations would have handled probably with the same willingness to drown anthropic in their own tears but completely out of public sight.
But the Pentagon works in mysterious ways, and therefore there might be a very good reason for this kind of pressure, that the people who are responsible for national security even risk making a public fuss about it, that we peasants simply don’t see.
I also can’t wait to see how the us military is messing this whole AI superiority softporn up. It’s not a matter of if but only of when.
They have a track record misshandling weapons of mass destruction.
To be fair tho, for the amount of nuclear weapons they are handling overall they are doing a pretty good job. But no more open blast doors for the pizza delivery guy, ok?
The real question is how many broken arrow events can we even have with AI? Is it better luck next time baby skynet serious or we fucked up Sir, everyone is going to die as matchsticks bad, if whatever system they use decides every problem they throw at it can be solved by removing the human from the equation, all of them preferably.
I think it’s called AI psychosis if you start attributing feelings and emotions to a bunch of ones and zeros.
Historically, new technologies have regularly been integrated into delusional systems, beginning in 1919 with Tausk's apparatus for influencing people via radio, television, satellite surveillance, and implanted chips.
What is new in the context of AI is the high degree of interaction and the supposedly intelligent or even conscious appearance of the counterpart. Fuchs points out that this is a complex illusion. In the sense of a transfer phenomenon, users attribute human-like characteristics to AI, even going so far as to call it “digital animism.”
Similarly, computer linguist Emily M. Bender describes how, in relation to AI, we have learned to build machines that can generate text without thinking. But we have not learned how to stop imagining a mind behind them.
But I think he is not necessarily delusional. He is probably doing that on purpose to manipulate the emotions of the reader for profit.
It’s an extremely manipulative piece signalling a few hidden key messages that will make people think about buying crypto and feeding into the get-rich-quick complex that scammers use ever since people gave away their homeland for shiny glass marbles.
Also, I don’t know about you, but as soon as any AI story is connected to any form of crypto trading, I consider it automatically a scam. Especially if it has a fabulous story and AI-generated pretty pictures, but no substantial data to show that can be analysed scientifically.
This reminds me a lot of the playbook those crypto bros did for NFTs.
The message here is: look, you too can use this new and exciting technology and get rich quickly. My bot lost 450,000 potatodollars but made all the potatodollars back by the next day. Also, it’s super fun, and you can make money while watching your bot get a consciousness (it doesn’t).
In a few days, it will probably be: you too can learn what I do. Just visit my coaching session, for only 2,999 USD (no potatodollars accepted) introductionary price.
Also, this individual has very low ethics standards. He watched how his program made another human sit on a park bench for potato dollars while it was raining and being cold. Good job, AI Mengele.
Experimenting on your fellow humans to your own amusement is not okay. He could have stopped this as soon as the bot started forcing poor people to show self-damaging behaviour for a monetary incentive, but he didn’t. Tells me everything about this person I need to know and not to trust a single word he is writing.
If he’s so smart, why isn’t he using Openclaw to read HN for him and then summarize the thread comments to soften the blows on his fragile ego?
Sam Altman called the man a genius, looks like he is as genius as the orange toll wizard is a genius. Instead of solving problems yap about it as loud and obnoxious as you can on X. Peter Steinberger fits right in there with the other losers supporting the wild party King of Epstein Island.
Your statement may well be protected by freedom of speech, but it is a highly unobjective, personal attack of the kind that I personally do not want to see here.
It does not help any of the readers in any way, does not present any facts, and contains nothing educational. If anything, it would have been sufficient for you to simply say that you do not like him, if possible with a fact-based explanation. Then people could think about it and, if necessary, respond with other arguments.
You are not wrong. But you’re also not fully right.
I think you don’t see the full scale of the economic tail those tariffs had.
He raised tariffs illegally by 10% for most countries immediately, which triggered a bunch of negative economic effects around the globe in those countries directly tied to the illegal raise of those tariffs by who represents the United States of America.
Damages have to be paid to those countries and their companies.
Because those costs occurred from an illegal action. We do agree that if you do something the highest court has deemed illegal, if it caused damages to any party as direct result of that illegal action, the entity who suffered those damages should be entitled to claim damages, right?
A lot of companies had to deal with the same problems.
You can’t really plan exporting into a country that raises different amounts of tariffs basically over night depending on how his majesty, the king of the free world has slept the night before.
Someone needs to plan with the new realities, workers need to put in more hours, external expertise needs to be hired, all costs have to be evaluated, partners in the US might no longer be able to clear their inventory, new business terms need to be negotiated.
Don’t get me started about the Logistics troubles, but all of the above are costs which wouldn’t occur if the president had gotten legal advise from the Supreme Court about his economic plans before he did something illegal. Right?
So do you follow the law?
If yes, your conclusion needs to be that the president needs to write a lot of Cheques and probably needs the autopen. Because it weren’t only us importers and customers suffering from the presidents illegal action.
The sad part is that the $175B was already spent because the tariffs didn't generate a budget surplus so we literally just set it on fire and will need to turn on the money printer to give it back to Americans who paid the taxes.
You really believe that the incidence of taxation falls 100% on the buyer and never the seller? And you think those who have a more accurate view are "lying"?
Please avoid simplistic beliefs and moral outrage for things as complex as trade policy. The people who say that the incidence of taxation falls heavily on sellers may just be better informed, particularly when listening to wall street earnings calls while simultaneously looking at the consumer price data.
LOL. Have you read that paper? And do you believe the BLS is lying about inflation data?
Let's take a look at the latest EU-consensus reinforcing pamphlet pushed out by Kiehl, because when Mahlkow wrote about tarrifs in 2022, he was all for them. At that time the EU was debating imposing tariffs on Russia, and here Mahlkov insisted that there would be massive economic long term contraction for Russia - which did not happen -- yet simultaneously, Mahlkow predict no meaningful effect of the EU's tariffs on the EU itself. You see, at that time, Mahlkov insisted that because the EU GDP was larger, there would be no impact on the EU itself as a result of tariffs.
Now let's dig into the crazy assumptions of Mahlkow's model. Does he use sophisticated econometric analysis? No, what he does is look at shipping containers and published tariff rates. What he assumes is that if, before the tariffs, there were 100 units shipped, but after the tariffs, there were also 100 units shipped, then it must be that 100% of the cost was passed onto the consumer.
You see, some tariffs (which the EU bureaucracy and it's various patronage organizations like Kiehl) support don't cause any harm to the nation levying the tariff, but other tariffs are deadly, and fortunately Mahlkov will pick the right model to reach the right conclusion. No looking at pallet data in 2022!
Now what is wrong with looking at pallet data for a brief period of time. It never occurs to Mahlkov that the corporations importing the goods have to absorb some of the cost. Mahlkov just assumes 100% is passed through to consumers and the importers pay nothing.
This must mean the BLS is committing some kind of fraud as this has not been showing up in CPI data.
I'll leave you to decide whether this is warranted or not, but let's just say there is a reason this remains a "brief" available to download and is not a published paper.
Meanwhile, real economists, even though the profession is politicized, nevertheless understand that they missed the boat on estimating tariff effects, and that the models need updating. To a real researcher, it's actually a great opportunity. But to someone like Mahlkov, who is trotted out whenever there needs to be economic support for or against the same policy, he will gladly write a paper. And then others will cite it.
Fun fact, the man had over 4000 Germans investigated by state police for insulting him on social media, people got their homes raided for stuff like "you sound drunk".
But you can officially call him "Kanzlerversager" (looser chancellor) without fearing any harm or his fragile trumpesque ego, because factually he couldn’t get a majority of the parliament to vote him into office, he needed a second try as the first chancellor in history.
This is just another try of a man that is known for his raging and temper whenever he gets critiqued to find more people he can sue and remove from public discourse because state police is going to raid your home with automatic weapons if you dare to insult someone on the internet in Germany in 2026. And most people will rather stay silent than risk their kids being traumatized 6am in the middle of the week if you remove the anonymity layer.
If you ever played World of Warcraft and were a member of any "guild" ever, which most do gatekeep players from joining the guild in the exact same way proposed here, especially if they play competitively, you’d know that this system is flawed and doomed.
You would have known that people in the guild leadership fall in love with each other and decide to literally rob the guild bank and then sell months of collective digital work to some Chinese for cold hard USD, you would know that the people getting the good loot before everyone else are always the guild officers, who decide wisely that the most valuable pieces go to the most valuable guild members, which are always in the close circle of leadership, and that people literally go Game of Thrones Lannister mode, because the more people decide who makes it up the ranks into the inner circle with the highest trust level, the less control you have over your own fate as there are now more people who could vote you out of your trust level/position.
I don’t have a good solution for the problem. I think it’s a fundamental thing in human biology that surviving today means acquiring as many resources as possible for yourself while not allowing anyone else to be in a stronger position. This is no longer a world for peace loving sheep, it’s the century of wolves, we had a decent run tho with peaceful cooperation. Maybe after another world war the people who survive will be smarter this time.
But I find it kinda amusing that the same people who programmed the tools to allow this problem to now be an existential threat to a system their whole industry relies on finding talent and maintaining the building blocks of a lot of their Products will get the full blow of what they did when the snake is done eating its tail up to its head.
It’s also interesting to see how the Administration runs a top-notch disinformation campaign against the American people on this.
They hit Iran without declaring war, or UN approval, or having any substantial reason on paper the public could use to trace if the initial goals of the operation are reached and in what timeframe.
So they took away the key measurement indicator of effectiveness / if the action was reasonable and effective, for the public as a reference point.
Most people would call a banana a lengthy fruit, but if you put it next to a giraffe, it’s no longer that lengthy. We need reference points for making good decisions.
You can see that they continue this pattern and build a narrative of US superiority on that, so people quickly forget about that this president broke with key democratic principles, by denying the public and Congress to have a lengthy discussion about if this war needed to be fought at exactly this time and day, before six servicemen die in two days.
I am especially surprised how weak journalism has become as a Checks & Balances tool in the US.
First comes Rubio, the smartest of the bunch, and preps the media about the goals of the operation. That gets pushed into mainstream with most US media being owned by people who rely on favourable treatment by the president. So they sing the song of the billionaires.
The journalists need to put food on the table and not ruin their careers, so we see them play along, thinking that’s only a few more years of Trump. The people who speak up get publicly roasted and insulted by the president himself or shut up with his army of lawyers.
Then after the initial blow on Rubio softened the narrative, they put the big dog in front of a mic and everyone feels stupid asking the President the same questions they already got answers from Rubio, so they don’t.
You watch him pick a random CNN guy/gal and tell them how much they suck at their job and that they are truly the worst, then he goes back to have a Big Mac brunch watching prepared reels of stuff the us army destroyed in Iran to a Kid Rock soundtrack. Journalism is dead in the US if that is the norm by now.
It’s also not like he got warned about the risks of this operation by the highest US General, right?
Dan Caine is pretty good at his job.
If you read between the lines in his rant about it. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn0zrwzr519o
"He has not spoken of not doing Iran, or even the fake limited strikes that I have been reading about," Trump added. "He knows only one thing, how to win, and, if he is told to do so, will be leading the pack."
All of this is true. The Joint Chief of Staff is bringing the President options, this also includes possible scenarios of escalation and their consequences.
You can be damn sure they informed Trump about any and all risks. Including Iran attacking the region’s energy infrastructure and neighbours.
But pay special attention to the last part. "If he is told to do so, will be leading the pack."
Not just that he treats a man that did more for the American public than he could ever do in a hundred years of his reign like a lapdog. He really doesn’t understand his own military as Commander-in-Chief.
If these people need to be told to do so, because they are resisting, you’re wrong as Commander to force your will on them. They do know better than the guy temporarily having a political position, because they dedicated their life to serving the American people. They think beyond four or eight years a president thinks.
They will gladly go to war and die for their country any day of the week if they are convinced it’s the right thing.
But it looks more like "being told to do so” resulted in the loss of life of six people by now, dozens injured and the whole region being on fire with billions in damage and loss of civilian life in 13! unrelated countries that got dragged into this conflict by now.
I think the American public needs to step up their game and you better do it fast, before the US becomes just two letters in the word rUSsia.
SSDD. Same System Different Donald.
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